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Feb 4, 2023·edited Feb 4, 2023Liked by Erik Torenberg

Zeihan's position on China is extreme and complete nonsense. Coincidentally, I covered this same topic in my weekly review published today: how the Cold War victory has produced the strange expectation that all of America's currently adversaries will internally implode like the USSR did. Zeihan suffers from this same Cold War leftover, it is pathological and not rational.

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Feb 4, 2023Liked by Erik Torenberg

Related, if you put any weight behind prediction markets: my Manifold market regarding Zeihan's position about China—as it exists today—being imminently over very much disagrees with him. https://manifold.markets/andrew/will-the-existing-china-government

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Oh wow, that looks about right to me. Thanks for sharing.

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The idea that without America, the rest of the world will cease to exist is just bonkers.

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